Proof that the forecast is getting better.
Prelko scores every forecast interval against what actually happened and tracks how peaks, recommendations and balance outcomes trend over weeks and seasons. The same numbers go to the control room, management and the regulator.
The metrics a grid is judged on.
| Metric | What it tells you | Breakdown |
|---|---|---|
| MAPE | Average forecast error as a percentage of load | Site, feeder, horizon, hour of day |
| Peak error | How close the forecast was at the actual peak interval, in MW | Daily, monthly, seasonal |
| Peak timing error | How far the forecast peak was from the actual peak, in minutes | Daily, monthly |
| Band coverage | Share of actuals that fell inside the P10-P90 band | Horizon, weather regime |
| Alert lead time | Average hours between alert and peak window | Asset, alert type |
| Recommendation outcome | Approved, modified or declined, and MW avoided at peak | Operator, asset, lever |
| Scheduling deviation | Gap between scheduled and actual drawal | Time block, day |
Built for three audiences.
Control room daily
Yesterday's accuracy, peaks caught and missed, open recommendations and data-feed health. Delivered before the morning shift.
Operations monthly
Accuracy trends by site and horizon, recommendation outcomes, MW avoided at peak and where the model struggled.
Regulatory and board
Forecast accuracy and scheduling deviation summaries in a consistent format, with the underlying data attached.
Your numbers, in your tools.
Reports live in the Prelko console and can be scheduled, exported or pulled through the API into your own BI stack. Nothing is locked in.
Scheduled delivery
Daily, weekly or monthly by email.
CSV and PDF
Interval-level data or formatted reports.
API access
Forecasts, actuals and scores over REST.
Audit trail
Every recommendation and decision retained.
Reporting questions
Can we compare Prelko against our current forecast?
Yes. Upload or connect your existing forecast and Prelko scores both against the same actuals, side by side.
How long is report history kept?
For the life of your subscription. Everything can be exported at any time, including when you leave.
Can reports match our regulator's format?
Standard templates cover common accuracy and deviation summaries. On the Utility plan we configure custom report layouts during onboarding.
Works best as part of the full loop.
Load Forecasting
Rolling 15-minute forecasts from 1 hour to 7 days ahead
Learn morePeak Demand Detection
Peak windows flagged with lead time and confidence
Learn moreDispatch Recommendations
Balancing actions proposed, approved by your operators
Learn moreRenewable Integration
Solar and wind variability built into every forecast
Learn moreBenchmark your current forecast.
Send us a quarter of forecasts and actuals, and we will score them on the same metrics Prelko reports on.